Wednesday, January 30, 2008

John McCain Now and Forever?

Well, now John McCain has gone and done it. With yesterday's victory in Florida over Mitt Romney he is well-positioned to pile up candidates on Super Tuesday, get a much-needed infusion of cash and Republican establishment support, and put a stake in Mitt's artificial heart. Rudy is history and Chucklebee will soon be as well.

Some think that Romney will loose his wealth on the Super Tuesday primaries and rally around him disaffected party conservatives who think that McCain is a communist. I don't though. I think after this Tuesday, both parties will have have their candidates for November--McCain and Hillary Clinton. Both candidates ought to pretty much run the large delegate-rich states of CA and NY. In the prize states after February 5, for the Democrats it is hard to see anyone other than Clinton taking states like Ohio and Pennsylvania. Add to that Clinton's super delegates and Obama's improbable rise--at least as a Presidential candidate this time around--should be at an end. Romney likely won't be around by then.

Although HC is probably the best candidate the Democrats can put forward, it is difficult for any Democrat to be sanguine about her chances against McCain. As I saw a leering, victorious McCain last night, I had a feeling very similar to the one I had in 1980 when Ronald Reagan was elected President. Even though November is a long way off, I think I will be spending most of this period with that sinking feeling and turbulence in the gut--conditions I've had frequently over the last couple decades.

No comments: