Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Mitt for Obama?

A big win for Obama tonight in Wisconsin, no doubt about it. This is an all white state so the victory, by about 15 percent it appears, is all the more impressive.

There are still a few things that are troubling, if looking ahead to the general election. Among white voters 45 and older, which made up about 55 percent of all voters (Edison exit polling) in the Democratic primary, Obama lost to Clinton. He won handily among independent voters and Republicans, those identifying themselves as liberal, moderate, and conservative, atheists and snakehandlers, and just about everything else. Yipes.

I am still scratching my head over the independents, who voted 2-1 for Obama, and Republicans, 75 percent of which went to Obama. He seems to be getting voters like these on a regular basis now (He did this most recently in Virginia and Maryland) though I just can’t believe that he will continue to get such voters if he makes it to the general election. I am very skeptical, in other words, that these people will still be voting for him when McCain and his 527 friends publicize that Obama is more liberal than Castro and not nearly as experienced (a taste of which we got tonight in McCain’s victory speech). If he doesn't this is real trouble as independents and Republicans voting for Obama made up 28 percent and nine percent, respectively, of voters in the Wisconsin Democratic primary. Take these away, and he narrowly beat Clinton among Democrats.

Who knows. Maybe these independents and Republicans who are voting for Obama aren't supremely ignorant but rather are so pissed off at George Bush and all his dirty tricks they are looking to send a message even in the general election.

One thing is for certain, though. if Clinton doesn’t win in Ohio and Texas on March 4, we will surely get a chance to see just what it is these voters are up to and maybe even whether that old opportunist, Mitt, has jumped on the bandwagon as an...Oromneycan.

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